Latest Research

Large-Scale Financing Drives Ag Lending Activity Higher

By Nathan Kauffman and Ty Kreitman
October 19, 2018 | Ag Finance Databook
Large operating loans made by large agricultural banks led to a significant increase in farm lending in the third quarter of 2018.

Small Business Loans Trend Upward as Interest Rates Continue to Rise

By Christi May-Oder, Assistant Vice President and Neil Carpenter, Senior Supervisory Analyst*
October 01, 2018 | Small Business Lending Survey
Small business lending conditions were stable in the second quarter of 2018. Respondents to the Federal Reserve’s Small Business Lending Survey (FR 2028D) indicated that outstanding small business loans and new originations in the second quarter increased slightly from the first quarter. While credit line usage remained relatively unchanged, interest rates on small business commercial and industrial (C&I) loans continued to rise amid reports of some tighter lending terms.

The Cyclical Behavior of Labor Force Participation

By Didem Tuzemen and Willem Van Zandweghe
September 07, 2018 | Research Working Paper
Understanding the cyclical behavior of labor force participation can provide insight into the nature of unemployment fluctuations.

Large Loans for Livestock Drive Uptick in Farm Lending

By Cortney Cowley and Ty Kreitman
July 20, 2018
Lending activity in the agricultural sector increased slightly in the second quarter of 2018, supported by larger loans for livestock.

Understanding Hawks and Doves

By George A. Kahn and Amy Oksol
June 27, 2018 | The Macro Bulletin
Hawks in the FOMC project higher inflation than doves even though their projections assume a tighter path for monetary policy.
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