Center for Agriculture and the Economy

Leveraging expertise from the Kansas City Fed, the Center provides timely analysis of industry developments and conducts ongoing research on the agricultural economy.

Agricultural Finance
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Agriculture | Agricultural Finance Update | Federal Reserve Ag Credit Surveys
Agricultural Credit Survey
Steady Tightening of Agricultural Credit Conditions Persists

Agricultural credit conditions continued to deteriorate gradually in the second quarter of 2026, but the level of financial...

Agriculture | Regional Agriculture | Agricultural Credit Survey
Economic Bulletin
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Economic Bulletin | Agriculture | Inflation | Regional

Rural Labor Markets are Likely Disrupted Most When Meatpacking Jobs Relocate

By John McCoy and Francisco Scott
September 18, 2026

Rural labor markets are likely to be more adversely affected from recent meatpacking closures than those near urban areas. Rural counties tend to have a higher share of their workforce employed in meatpacking plants. However, a significant number of these meatpacking-dependent counties are also near urban areas. Counties with high concentrations of meatpacking jobs near metropolitan areas have a larger, more dynamic labor market that can help workers transition to new jobs. If meatpacking plants in urban or urban adjacent counties close or consolidate, workers in these areas will likely transition faster to new jobs than workers in rural areas.

Dot plot titled 'County meatpacking employment as a share of county labor force.' Counties are grouped into five categories along the x-axis: large urban, medium urban, small urban, rural but adjacent to urban, and rural. Each dot is a U.S. county. A dotted trend line rises gradually showing that meatpacking employment makes up a larger share of the labor force in more rural areas. However, some counties with a large share of employment in meatpacking are located in more urban or urban-adjacent counties."

Notes: Meatpacking employment as a share of labor force uses 2023 data from county business patterns. Each dot represents a county. Sample includes all U.S. counties that have at least 1% of their labor force working in animal slaughter and processing plants. We modified the USDA rurality continuum to create a new typology for urban and rural counties. Urban counties with population of 1 million, between 250 thousand and 1 million, and less than 250,000 are classified as Large urban, Medium urban, and Small urban, respectively. Counties in rural areas but adjacent to urban areas are classified as Rural, but adjacent to urban, and those rural counties not adjacent to urban areas are classified as Rural county. Black line shows the relationship between meatpacking jobs as a share of labor force and an encoded version of the rurality categories that vary from 1 to 5, 1 being most urban and 5 being the most rural.

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, USDA, authors’ calculations

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