Center for Agriculture and the Economy

Leveraging expertise from the Kansas City Fed, the Center provides timely analysis of industry developments and conducts ongoing research on the agricultural economy.

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Unemployment Remains Low in Rural Farm Counties

July 3, 2026

By Ty Kreitman

Despite ongoing challenges in the crop sector and tighter farm financial conditions, unemployment in rural counties most highly concentrated in farming has remained low. The rate of unemployment in farm-concentrated counties (blue line) and all other rural counties (green line) diverged in the early 2000s and that trend has persisted. The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in farming counties was 3.8% as of May 2026, which was slightly higher than the record lows reached in 2022 but notably lower than other areas of the U.S. The contrast likely reflects differences in factors like age demographics, population growth, industry concentrations and labor market participation and has implications for labor availability in the agricultural sector and prospects for off-farm employment.

Line chart showing U.S. unemployment rates from 1990 to 2026 for three county types: Rural Counties - Farm Concentrated (dark blue), Rural Counties – Not Farm Concentrated (green), and All Urban Counties (purple). All three lines follow similar patterns: 5-8% in 1990, declining to 4-6% in late 1990s-early 2000s, rising to 8-10% during the 2008-2010 recession, falling to ~4% by 2019, then spiking dramatically to 16% (urban) and 8-10% (rural) around 2020 before declining back to 3-4%. Since the early 2000s, rural farm concentrated counties show slightly lower unemployment than all other rural counties and urban counties.

Notes: The rural and urban county distinction is based on USDA Rural-Urban Continuum Codes for metro and non-metro counties and the farm concentration distinction is based on the high farming-concentration USDA Economic Typology Code. The rural and urban classifications are based on population and connection to broader labor-market areas. Urban counties (metro) are those that have one or urban area with a population of 50,000 or more people and outlying counties that are economically tied to an urban county as measured by labor-force commuting. Rural counties (non-metro) have cities with populations of 20,000 or less and are not economically tied to an urban county. Farm concentrated rural counties have at least 20 percent of the county annual average labor and proprietors’ earnings derived from farming or at least 17 percent of the annual average number of jobs in the county derived from farming.

Source: BLS, USDA, and Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Staff Calculations.

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