Research Working Paper Archive

Research staff produce Research Working Papers on a wide range of economic topics.

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455 result(s) found
Article Title Author(s) Date Type

How Ricardian Are We?

Estimates with new time series methods suggest households act as if they will bear only a fraction of outstanding government debt.

Quantitative Methods Research Working Paper Macroeconomics
Jonathan J. Adams
Christian Matthes Expandable Row
March 20, 2026
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Sticky Prices for Inflationary Economies: A Tractable Linear Approximation to Menu Cost Models with Trend Inflation

A new method assesses how the costs firms incur to adjust their prices determine inflation and affect monetary policy.

Quantitative Methods Research Working Paper Monetary Policy Macroeconomics
Jonathan J. Adams Expandable Row
March 20, 2026
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Does Experience Matter? Past Fraud Experiences, Data Compromises, and Credit Market Behavior

Past experiences with fraud affect whether individuals take precautionary measures under a new fraud threat.

Research Working Paper Banking and Finance
Nathan Blascak
Ying Lei Toh Expandable Row
February 17, 2026
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Deciphering Federal Reserve Communication via Text Analysis of Alternative FOMC Statements - Online Appendix

No Description Provided.

Research Working Paper
Dongho Song
Shu-Kuei X. Yang
Taeyoung Doh Expandable Row
December 2, 2025
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Text Sentiment About Monetary Policy

Text-based analysis of FOMC meeting transcripts can help identify the evolution of members’ perceptions of economic conditions.

Quantitative Methods Research Working Paper Monetary Policy Macroeconomics
Hie Joo Ahn
Thomas R. Cook
Taeyoung Doh
Elias Kastritis
Jesse Wedewer Expandable Row
November 25, 2025
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What Do LLMs Want?

Large language models (LLMs) seem more impatient and altruistic than humans in economic experiments.

Quantitative Methods Research Working Paper Macroeconomics
Thomas R. Cook
Sophia Kazinnik
Zach Modig
Nathan M. Palmer Expandable Row
November 25, 2025
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Firm-Level Pass-Through of Supply Chain Disruptions: Insights from the U.S. Beef Market

A supply disruption’s effect on retail prices depends on the magnitude of the shock and the perceived reliability of the seller.

Research Working Paper Food Prices Agriculture Manufacturing
Francisco Scott
Marco Duarte
Meilin Ma Expandable Row
November 25, 2025
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A Note on the Finite Sample Bias in Time Series Cross-Validation

Cross-validation biases time series model selection even when used with VARs or with models that have martingale-like errors.

Quantitative Methods Research Working Paper
Amaze Lusompa Expandable Row
November 24, 2025
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Financial Constraints and Employment Dynamics following Natural Disasters

Financial constraints can weigh on credit access and employment after a natural disaster—even outside the affected area.

Economic Geography Research Working Paper Macroeconomics Banking and Finance
Cooper Howes
Johannes Matschke
Jordan Pandolfo Expandable Row
November 21, 2025
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An Analytical Price of Stablecoin “Deposit” Insurance

This paper provides the first analytical estimates of the price of guaranteeing stablecoins against loss.

Quantitative Methods Payments Research Working Paper Banking and Finance
Stefan A. Jacewitz Expandable Row
October 17, 2025
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