Food Prices

Discover research on food price drivers, supply chain impacts, and consumer cost trends from the Kansas City Fed’s Center for Agriculture and the Economy.

The Dynamics of Food Prices

Food prices are shaped by more than farm-level commodity prices. U.S. food prices reflect a complex mix of factors, including supply chain processing, packaging, transportation, and retail margins. The following research and articles offer insights into how economic conditions, trade dependencies, and investment trends affect the food system and consumer prices.


14 result(s) found
Article Title Author(s) Date Type

EconQuest: Where Learning Meets Real-World Economics

How Do Food Prices Help Measure Inflation?

Consumer Price Index Economics Inflation Research Food Prices Services Inflation
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January 27, 2026
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Firm-Level Pass-Through of Supply Chain Disruptions: Insights from the U.S. Beef Market

A supply disruption’s effect on retail prices depends on the magnitude of the shock and the perceived reliability of the seller.

Research Working Paper Food Prices Agriculture Manufacturing
Francisco Scott
Marco Duarte
Meilin Ma Expandable Row
November 25, 2025
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Food and Agriculture Economic Summit Highlights Factors Influencing Investment in Food Production and Distribution

In June, industry experts met at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City’s Food and Agriculture Economic Summit to discuss future investment in food and agriculture. Participants discussed several factors driving investment decisions, including emerging technologies, consumer trends, and recent economic developments. However, they also highlighted several constraints on investment, including costs associated with capital deployment, labor market conditions, and policy uncertainty.

Economic Bulletin Food Prices Agriculture
Ty Kreitman
Nate Kauffman Expandable Row
August 15, 2025
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Ag Summit highlights food production and distribution trends

In June, the Kansas City Fed’s Omaha Branch hosted its Food and Agriculture Economic Summit. This year’s event theme was “Investment in Food Production and Distribution."

Ten Food Prices Omaha Branch Agriculture
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August 13, 2025
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Ask an Economist: Why key agricultural trade partners are important for the farm sector and food prices

Associate Economist Ty Kreitman explores how major changes to trade relationships could lead to reduced agricultural revenue and higher prices for consumers.

Ask an Economist Ten Magazine Trade Food Prices Agriculture
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July 15, 2025
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Is It Time to Add Food-at-Home Inflation to Measures of Core Inflation?

Since the mid-1970s, the Federal Reserve has used core inflation to examine trends in underlying inflation. Core inflation is considered a more stable measure as it excludes energy and food, historically viewed as the most volatile components of inflation. However, core inflation can be a challenge for central bankers to communicate, as food inflation is highly salient to consumers. We argue that food-at-home inflation has become less volatile over time and could be added to measures of core inflation with few drawbacks.

Monetary Policy Economic Bulletin Food Prices Agriculture Inflation
Francisco Scott
José Mustre-del-Río
Amaze Lusompa
Jalen Nichols Expandable Row
June 6, 2025
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Key Agricultural Trade Partners Are Important for U.S. Farm Sector Revenues and Food Prices

The U.S. agricultural sector is especially vulnerable to fluctuations in trade with Mexico, Canada, and China. Several major commodities and staple consumer food products rely heavily on exports to and imports from these countries. Major changes to these key trade relationships could lead to reduced farm sector revenues and higher food prices for consumers.

International Economic Bulletin Food Prices Agriculture
Ty Kreitman Expandable Row
April 4, 2025
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Agriculture and the Federal Reserve

Remarks given to USDA’s 101st Agricultural Outlook Forum.

Jeff Schmid Speeches Agriculture Speeches Food Prices Agriculture
Jeffrey Schmid Expandable Row
February 27, 2025
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The Passthrough of Agricultural Commodity Prices to Food Prices

Agricultural commodities prices have had a small and uncertain effect on changes in food prices at least since 2008.

Research Working Paper Food Prices Agriculture Inflation
Francisco Scott
Amaze Lusompa
David Rodziewicz
Cortney Cowley
Jacob Dice Expandable Row
December 20, 2024
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An Experimental Analysis of Quality Misperception in Food Labels

Consumers’ misperception of labels alters sellers’ strategic responses and can increase quality and total welfare in food markets.

Research Working Paper Food Prices Agriculture
Francisco Scott Expandable Row
October 19, 2023
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