Center for Agriculture and the Economy

Leveraging expertise from the Kansas City Fed, the Center provides timely analysis of industry developments and conducts ongoing research on the agricultural economy.

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Strong demand for operating loans boosted farm lending activity at commercial banks in the fourth quarter of 2025.

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High production costs and subdued liquidity spurred strong farm lending activity in 2025

February 5, 2026
By Ty Kreitman

Estimates from the National Survey of Terms of Lending to Farmers showed a 20% year-over-year increase in the average inflation-adjusted volume of new farm operating loans at commercial banks during 2025. Demand for financing grew considerably for the second consecutive year alongside elevated production expenses and subdued liquidity in the sector, particularly for crop producers challenged by narrow profit margins. The latest Ag Finance Update describes how the growing size of operating loans continued to drive increases in lending volumes over the past year.

Chart showing trends in Farm Operating Loans, Operating Expenses, and Liquidity from 2000 to 2025. The graph displays three lines indexed to the year 2000 (index=100), with inflation-adjusted values. The purple line represents Operating Expenses, which shows an overall increasing trend reaching about 150-160 by 2025. The blue line shows Farm Operating Loans, which fluctuates significantly throughout the period with notable peaks around 2014 and projected 2025. The green line shows Debt Service Ratio, which fluctuates between roughly 90-120, with a note indicating 'Lower Debt Service Ratio = Lower Liquidity' at the bottom of the chart. All three metrics show considerable volatility over the 25-year period, with operating expenses generally trending higher than the year 2000 baseline.

*Average annual volume of loans for current operating expenses estimated in the Survey of Terms of Lending to Farmers.

**Total U.S. farm sector production expenses less interest expenses and capital expenditures.

Sources: USDA, Survey of Terms of Lending to Farmers, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City and Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City staff calculations

The National Survey of Terms of Lending to Farmers collects a sample of newly issued farm loans from a voluntary panel of commercial banks each quarter, and the results are used to estimate aggregate farm lending activity. Subscribe here to receive email updates about all the latest data releases and insights from the Center for Agriculture and the Economy.


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