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December 2023, RWP 23-15; updated August 2024

Mitigating climate change is critically linked to reducing an economy’s reliance on fossil energy. This paper examines U.S. energy dependence, measured by its factor share, using a neoclassical framework systematically. We present the degree of substitution between different factors of production as a simple, explicit mechanism for climate change mitigation and for interpreting energy-saving technical change. With timevarying capital equipment-energy substitutability, changes in observed factor quantities alone can account for most of the variations in the income share of energy over 1963-2019. Advancing capital equipment access and quality and integrating the dynamic substitutability between energy and equipment into the design of climate policies can help economies achieve environmental goals.

JEL classifications: E13, E23, E25, J24, Q41, Q42, Q54, Q55

Article Citation

  • Çakır Melek, Nida, and Musa Orak. 2023. “The Role of Technology and Energy Substitution in Climate Change Mitigation.” Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Research Working Paper no. 23-15, December. Available at External Linkhttps://doi.org/10.18651/RWP2023-15

Author

Nida Çakır Melek

Senior Economist

Nida Çakır Melek is a senior economist in the Economic Research Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. She joined the Bank in August 2013 after receiving her Ph.…

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