Ag Outlooks and Research

May 11, 2017


Research and updates from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City highlighting developments in the agricultural economy.

Persistent Large Inventories, Low Prices

By Cortney Cowley
April 17, 2017
Ag Outlook Sentiment about the 2017 outlook for agriculture has varied somewhat by scale and commodity. Nationally, the forecast for farm income suggested the downturn in the agricultural industry would continue in 2017.

Headwinds to Ag Outlook Remain Despite Strength in Exports

By Cortney Cowley and Matt Clark
December 29, 2016
Ag Outlook Some agricultural commodity prices in the U.S. got a boost from exports over the summer, but elevated exports seemed to only keep prices for some commodities from dropping further.

U.S. Farm Economy Slumps into the Fourth Quarter

By Nathan Kauffman
September 28, 2016
Ag Outlook The U.S. farm economy weakened further in the third quarter despite an upward revision to farm income projections.

Mounting Pressure in the U.S. Farm Sector

By Nathan Kauffman
May 31, 2016
Ag Outlook The U.S. agricultural economy has continued to weaken in the first quarter of 2016 and is expected to remain soft through the year. Future cash flow appears likely to remain a top concern for producers over the coming year as agricultural credit conditions, and the path of interest rates, evolve.

Supply and Demand Fundamentals Weighing on Ag Economy

By Cortney Cowley
June 13, 2016
Ag Outlook The outlook for the ag economy has continued to become more pessimistic. Recent supply and demand fundamentals have weighed on crop prices amid continued expectations for falling farm income in all states in the Tenth District.

Tightening Farm Income Continues to Loom

By Nathan Kauffman and Matt Clark
September 23, 2016
Ag Outlook An increased debt burden, persistently lower profit margins and existing headwinds for crop prices could continue to affect the U.S. farm economy into 2016, and further intensify concerns about emerging financial stress for the sector.